Cal St. Fullerton
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
801  Katie Bathgate JR 21:20
1,247  Emily Taylor SO 21:49
1,267  Sara Taylor SR 21:50
1,398  Arianna Fuentes FR 21:58
1,573  Ana Valdovinos SO 22:08
1,849  Tijerra Lynch JR 22:25
1,910  Celinda Manzo JR 22:29
2,171  Amanda Crissinger FR 22:46
2,600  Abby Buckhoff FR 23:14
2,961  Tejera Dial JR 23:47
2,976  Michelle Botello FR 23:49
3,120  Jessica Feuerstine SO 24:07
3,224  Tristanie Bjazevich SO 24:23
3,289  Pamela Pelayo FR 24:33
3,803  Kaylie McGrady FR 27:58
National Rank #193 of 340
West Region Rank #28 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 27th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 2.5%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Katie Bathgate Emily Taylor Sara Taylor Arianna Fuentes Ana Valdovinos Tijerra Lynch Celinda Manzo Amanda Crissinger Abby Buckhoff Tejera Dial Michelle Botello
CS San Bernardino Invitational 09/28 1238 21:28 22:09 22:02 21:56 21:53 22:59 22:17 22:37 23:05 23:32 22:39
Sacremento State Inter-Regional Jamboree 10/04 1223 21:20 21:27 22:06 21:58 22:11 22:01 22:40 22:41 23:37 24:09
UC Riverside Highlander Invite 10/19 1232 21:19 22:23 21:49 21:51 22:00 22:17 22:35 22:54 22:59 23:25 23:34
Titan Invitational 10/25 1536 24:25 23:58
Big West Championships 11/02 1244 21:49 21:33 22:05 22:37 22:32 22:05 22:50 23:16
West Region Championships 11/15 1249 21:38 21:46 22:05 22:07 22:42 22:40





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 25.9 759 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.9 3.8 6.1 8.9 9.9 12.0 12.5 13.0 12.1 10.1 6.7 2.1



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katie Bathgate 111.5
Emily Taylor 152.4
Sara Taylor 153.8
Arianna Fuentes 165.5
Ana Valdovinos 178.4
Tijerra Lynch 196.3
Celinda Manzo 200.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 0.1% 0.1 17
18 0.1% 0.1 18
19 0.4% 0.4 19
20 1.9% 1.9 20
21 3.8% 3.8 21
22 6.1% 6.1 22
23 8.9% 8.9 23
24 9.9% 9.9 24
25 12.0% 12.0 25
26 12.5% 12.5 26
27 13.0% 13.0 27
28 12.1% 12.1 28
29 10.1% 10.1 29
30 6.7% 6.7 30
31 2.1% 2.1 31
32 0.4% 0.4 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0